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  • The Importance of Data

    Over the past month or so, I have been re-watching The West Wing.  Although the show often depicts a White House that verges on utopian and the President’s integrity approaches disbelief, many scenes evoke a sense of pride in the political process and the power of bipartisan government.

    While I was writing this piece about the importance of data, I watched the scene on the importance of federal reports from the episode The Stackhouse Filibuster.  While a lot of federal spending goes to reporting that can feel trivial, the importance of high-quality reporting and reliable data is imperative to sound decision making.

     I invite civil, bipartisan discussion on this topic.

    In order to make accurate, timely decisions it is critical to maintain high quality data.  According to a Forbes article from October 2024, “The outcomes of decisions made with incorrect data can be substantial.”  While this article focuses on businesses rather than public data, the consequences of losing important data in the public sector are significant.

     

    In the beginning of August, President Trump fired the head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics on the heels of a weak jobs report for the month of July, claiming that the numbers were rigged for political reasons despite presenting no evidence for that claim.  E.J. Antoni, who has been a frequent critic of BLS data, has been nominated to serve as the new head of the department.

    In addition to firing the head of BLS, the President has also fired a governor of the Federal Reserve, Lisa Cook, claiming she committed mortgage fraud.  Currently, the firing is on hold as an appeals court ruled she cannot be fired while the legal process continues to play out.  Meanwhile, it seems bank documents cast doubt on the administration’s claims of mortgage fraud.

    In addition to these major headlines, the administration has cut expert committees on economics, cut data collection efforts, considered excluding government spending in GDP, and cut data collection related to inflation.

    These cuts and unsubstantiated claims cast doubt on the legitimacy of important American economic data.

     

    The administration has also looked to cut collection for weather and climate data.

    The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) announced they would stop reporting on key data used to forecast hurricanes.  The administration has also cut back on weather balloon launches which are used for weather modeling and forecasting nationwide and has removed numerous weather satellites from future launch plans while reducing the capabilities of those to be launched.

    A NOAA website, climate.gov, one of the most prominent government sources for climate data, was shut down after the entire staff was eliminated.  Despite being mandated by Congress, the Trump administration has also stopped producing the National Climate Assessments and two satellites that monitor the climate are set to be decommissioned despite being in working order.

    Cuts to weather and climate data collection will hurt the accuracy of weather forecasters in emergencies.

     

    A budget proposal from the Trump Administration aimed to cut funding for the CDC by over 50%.  Cuts made so far this year have impacted numerous health programs nationwide, including tracking lead poisoning in children and surveys for teenage drug use and mental health.  In total, it seems 146 datasets have been scrubbed from CDC monitoring.

    Reducing access to health data makes it harder for Americans to make personal decisions regarding their health outcomes, and harder for doctors to make informed recommendations.

     

    There is unequivocally merit in a thorough examination of what congressional appropriations ultimately fund, including reports and data.  Even the scene from the West Wing has a mandated report on a program that no longer exists, but questioning the veracity of data and wholesale cuts without input from the people who use the data risks significant consequences.

    Reliable, consistent, high-quality data is the foundation of sound decision making.

     

    Sources:

    The West Wing – Wikipedia

    “The West Wing” The Stackhouse Filibuster (TV Episode 2001) – IMDb

    The Importance Of Data Quality: Metrics That Drive Business Success

    Trump fires Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner after dismal employment report | PBS News

    Jobs report July 2025: U.S. added just 73,000 jobs, prior months revised much lower

    WATCH: ‘I think their numbers were wrong,’ Trump says after firing BLS head over jobs report | PBS News

    Who is E.J. Antoni, Trump’s pick to lead the BLS? – ABC News

    Concerns grow about Trump’s controversial BLS pick

    https://www.cnbc.com/2025/08/25/trump-fires-lisa-cook-fed-powell.html

    https://www.cnn.com/2025/08/28/business/mortgage-fraud-faq-occupancy-fraud

    https://www.nytimes.com/2025/09/15/us/politics/lisa-cook-fed-appeals-court-decision.html?unlocked_article_code=1.m08.CaeA.WibJSjSxKsJX&smid=url-share

    Trump administration disbands two expert panels on economic data | Reuters

    ‘Survival mode’: Concerns over economic data quality mount amid cuts – POLITICO

    Trump administration may change how GDP is calculated amid DOGE cuts | AP News

    Inflation data threatened by government hiring freeze as tariffs loom | AP News

    ospo.noaa.gov/data/messages/2025/06/MSG_20250625_1735.html

    Trump delays plan to cut satellite data access crucial to hurricane forecasting | Trump administration | The Guardian

    With fewer weather balloons flying, forecasts may be less accurate

    Weather Balloon Cuts Raise Alarm: ‘Not a Good Sign’ – Newsweek

    Trump admin strips ocean and air pollution monitoring from next-gen weather satellites | CNN

    climate website employees laid off : NPR

    National Climate Assessment – Wikipedia

    Inside the federal government’s purge of climate data | Vox

    https://www.nytimes.com/2025/09/05/climate/trump-climate-satellites.html?unlocked_article_code=1.m08.ursQ.71xQldukMbBW&smid=url-share

    Cuts have eliminated more than a dozen US government health-tracking programs

    CDC’s childhood lead program is still defunct, despite Kennedy’s claims

    STAT tracks CDC data for words barred by Trump executive orders

    September 18, 2025
  • News of the Week: 9/7

    The news of this week is once again filled with stories that would normally last for months.

    I invite civil, bipartisan discussion on this post.

    Trump bombs Venezuelan ship

    On Tuesday, the United States military struck a Venezuelan ship in South American Waters.  On Wednesday, the administration was reportedly still trying to determine what legal authority they had to attack the ship; the legal grounds for using lethal force on a vessel that poses no immediate threat is seemingly questionable at best.

    When asked what legal grounds the United States had to carry out the attack, J.D. Vance simply said, “I don’t give a shit what you call it.” In the meantime, Pete Hegseth declared the “absolute and complete authority” to conduct the strike, but never answered the question regarding which law gave him such power.

    Chicago and the Department of War

    Yesterday, Donald Trump posted on Truth Social that Chicago would soon understand why they changed the name back to the “Department of War”.  It is worth noting that despite the crackdowns in Washington, D.C. and potentially Chicago, many cities on the list of high crime rates have not been threatened with military intervention.

    As the President continues to mull sending more and more forces into American cities, it is worth noting that a judge declared sending troops into Los Angeles earlier this year was illegal.

    RFK, Jr. Congressional Testimony

    The head of the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. appeared before a Senate hearing on Thursday.  In the hearing, he repeatedly cast doubt on vaccines, specifically saying mRNA vaccines cause harm despite his statement that Donald Trump should get the Nobel Prize for Operation Warp Speed.  During his testimony, he also showed he had no idea how many COVID deaths the United States has had and defended firing the recently approved CDC director along with his firing of the entire panel overseeing approval of vaccines.

    Around the same time we see continued skepticism of vaccines from the Health Secretary, the state of Florida is moving to end all vaccine mandates in the state, including for children in schools despite reports of diseases spreading across the country.

    Mike Johnson says Trump was an FBI informant

    Over the last several months there has been a continued push to release whatever information exists on Jeffrey Epstein.  The most recent turn of events came when Speaker of the House Mike Johnson said that Donald Trump was an informant for the FBI on the case.  Meanwhile, Representative Thomas Massie is pushing a discharge petition to release the files, and the White House has reportedly stated helping Massie would be a “very hostile act to the White House”.

     

    Sources:
    U.S. strikes suspected drug vessel in Caribbean after departure from Venezuela : NPR

    JD Vance blasts Trump critic in cartel killings debate: ‘I don’t give a s—‘ | Fox News

    Trump Administration Says Boat Strike Is Start of Campaign Against Venezuelan Cartels – The New York Times

    Experts skeptical of legality of Trump’s strike on alleged drug boat | CNN Politics

    JD Vance blasts Trump critic in cartel killings debate: ‘I don’t give a s—‘ | Fox News

    Pete Hegseth’s Answer To Basic Legal Question Takes A ‘Clown Show’ Turn | HuffPost Latest News

    Trump appears to again threaten sending troops to Chicago for immigration enforcement – CBS News

    Donald Trump on Truth Social

    Federal agents spread out across D.C. amid Trump vow to crack down on crime : NPR

    Full List of America’s Most Dangerous Cities as Trump Cracks Down on D.C. – Newsweek

    Trump’s use of National Guard in Los Angeles illegal, judge rules – BBC News

    https://www.msnbc.com/weekends-with-alex-witt/watch/house-speaker-claims-trump-was-an-fbi-informant-in-the-epstein-case-246949957647

    https://www.cbsnews.com/news/thomas-massie-epstein-files-discharge-petition-house-vote/

    Kennedy draws bipartisan pushback at Senate hearing over moves to limit vaccines

    https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/rfk-jr-challenged-square-covid-vaccine-skepticism-trumps/story?id=125296845

    RFK Jr. says he doesn’t know how many Americans died from COVID

    RFK Jr. fires all 17 members of CDC vaccine advisory panel

    Florida plans to end vaccine mandates statewide, including for schoolchildren | CNN

    Diseases are spreading. The CDC isn’t warning the public like it was months ago : NPR

    https://www.msnbc.com/weekends-with-alex-witt/watch/house-speaker-claims-trump-was-an-fbi-informant-in-the-epstein-case-246949957647

    https://www.cbsnews.com/news/thomas-massie-epstein-files-discharge-petition-house-vote/

    X

    September 7, 2025
  • The Veil of Ignorance

    I invite civil, bipartisan discussion on this post.

    Today I want to talk about a theory known as the Veil of Ignorance and see how it can be applied with the United States’ recent actions towards immigrants. 

    The theory of the Veil of Ignorance was proposed in a 1971 book by John Rawls called simply, A Theory of Justice, where he lays out his view of how a group should form a political and economic structure focusing on justice in society.

    To simplify it significantly, we should look at our social, economic, and political landscape and determine if it is fair by assuming we do not know which person we are – rather as if you were shrouded in a Veil of Ignorance about your race, gender, ability, wealth, etc.  According to Rawls, this would make you more prone to choosing policies that advocated fairness in society.

    This is one of my favorite thought experiments related public policy.

    As you read the details on immigration below, I challenge you to think about every one of these situations as if you were behind a Veil of Ignorance.  If these situations could happen to you, would you really still continue to consider them to be fair and just?

    Who is being targeted?

    Back in May, the Trump administration ended TPS protections for Afghans.  According to the administration, conditions in Afghanistan have improved enough since the U.S. withdrawal that it is no longer warranted for them to have legal status in the United States.  This includes people who helped the U.S. occupation in their home country and would undoubtedly be targeted by the ruling Taliban.  A man who helped the U.S. was detained after what should have been a routine green card appointment.  This person has followed immigration law, was approved for humanitarian parole due to threats from the Taliban, and was working to become a permanent legal citizen.

    A few weeks ago, it was reported that roughly 200 workers had their visas revoked at a JBS plant in Ottumwa.  We don’t know the full details of each employee, but according to Zach Nunn, many of these workers were under the CHNV program (Cuba, Haiti, Nicaragua, and Venezuela Program) which was abruptly cancelled by the DHS in the Trump Administration.  These are people who entered the country legally and began working in the United States.

    Venezuelans were allowed to enter due to political unrest. Haitians were allowed to enter due to a devastating earthquake and subsequent violence.  Nicaraguans and Cubans were similarly allowed due to increasing oppressive conditions in their home countries.

    Are American Citizens facing consequences?

    U.S. Citizens have also been getting caught up in raids with a recent video showing a man being arrested and told he has no rights, despite being a citizen.  Lawsuits have accused the Trump Administration of race based detentions, and now the administration is asking the Supreme Court to allow targeted detentions based on race.  On top of that, Donald Trump himself has clearly said on numerous occasions that he has considered deporting American Citizens.

     

    What is happening to them?

    A few weeks ago Donald Trump took a trip to visit a new ICE facility in Florida which has been dubbed “Alligator Alcatraz” combined with new funding in the Budget Bill for ICE Detention Centers of $45 Billion.  More recently, there is a new facility set to open called the “Speedway Slammer” in Indiana.

    There have been numerous reports of overcrowding, reports of medical neglect, reports of unsanitary conditions, and one of the deadliest years in recent history for ICE detainees.  Yesterday, after many of these stories have come out, a judge ordered that an ICE facility in New York must improve conditions for those detained within.

    As reports of poor conditions in ICE facilities rise and new detention facilities are added, we would hope for adequate oversight of the facilities to ensure humanitarian conditions.  However, in June, the Department of Homeland Security put new restrictions on members of congress requiring a 72-hour notice in order to visit an ICE immigration facility despite Congress having the right to inspect detention centers without notice.

    Many immigrants are also being deported to countries they are not from.  The Administration now has agreements with Eswatini, South Sudan, Rwanda, El Salvador, and others.

     

    If we could look at these decisions behind the Veil of Ignorance, would we truly consider these actions to be just and fair to those involved?

     

    Sources:

    Original position – Wikipedia

    John Rawls – Wikipedia

    https://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/a-theory-of-justice-john-rawls/1131131419

    Trump administration ends TPS protections against Afghan deportations

    Timeline of U.S. Withdrawal from Afghanistan – FactCheck.org

    Trump’s immigration moves put Afghans who helped with US airstrikes against Taliban in limbo | AP News

    Afghanistan: Relentless Repression 4 Years into Taliban Rule | Human Rights Watch

    Former Afghan interpreter for U.S. military detained by ICE after routine immigration appointment | WBUR News

    Advocates, officials call for release of Afghan man arrested by ICE in CT | Connecticut Public

    Ottumwa mayor: JBS tells workers visas are revoked, must leave US

    Get the Facts: What triggered an immigration status change for 200-plus JBS workers in Ottumwa?

    DHS Issues Notices of Termination for the CHNV Parole Program, Encourages Parolees to Self-Deport Immediately | Homeland Security

    Supreme Court allows Trump to revoke protected status for thousands of Venezuelans

    https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/haiti-crisis-what-know-president-violence-government-rcna143000

    Setting the Record Straight on CHNV – Refugees International

    A U.S. citizen detained by Border Patrol captured his arrest on camera | Miami Herald

    Trump administration sued for allegedly targeting brown-skinned people in Southern California | AP News

    Trump administration asks Supreme Court to lift limits on ICE patrols – Los Angeles Times

    Trump hopes to deport and jail U.S. citizens abroad : NPR

    https://www.npr.org/2025/07/01/nx-s1-5453078/trump-alligator-alcatraz-visit-migrant-detention-center

    https://time.com/7299360/big-beautiful-bill-trump-ice-immigration/

    https://www.indystar.com/story/news/politics/2025/08/06/speedway-slammer-indiana-alligator-alcatraz-kristi-noem-mike-braun-miami-correctional/85540808007/

    https://apnews.com/article/immigration-miami-deportation-detention-ice-67a6c798b56ea4b42ee06afcc8c22428

    https://www.wired.com/story/ice-detention-center-911-emergencies/

    https://www.axios.com/local/miami/2025/03/27/miami-ice-facility-overcrowding-poor-conditions

    https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/jun/30/us-ice-detention-deaths

    Trump Administration Ordered To Fix ‘Serious Threat’ Conditions at NYC ICE Facility – Newsweek

    https://www.reuters.com/legal/government/trump-administration-puts-new-limits-congress-visits-immigration-centers-2025-06-19/

    https://www.axios.com/2025/06/20/trump-ice-visits-congress-restrictions

    This Isn’t Just deportation. – Politically Rational

    US sends 5 men to Eswatini under Trump administration’s deportation program | AP News

    South Sudan says US deportees are in government’s care | Reuters

    Rwanda accepts up to 250 deportees from the US under Trump’s third-country plan | AP News

    El Salvador offers to accept deportees from US of any nationality, including Americans | AP News

    Here’s Where Trump’s Deportations Are Sending Migrants | Council on Foreign Relations

    August 13, 2025
  • Independence Day

    Whether you choose to enjoy your holiday by going to a parade, watching fireworks, attending a community festival, grilling, or just enjoying a quiet day off from work, I would like to wish everyone a safe and happy Fourth of July.

    I started this page (and website) to try to bring discussion back into politics.  I firmly believe that it is essential for us to be able to speak civilly and candidly to one another about the issues facing us.  We should be able to have an open conversation and ask questions, even hard questions, without immediately devolving into hatred and yelling at one another.

    I hear a lot of people talk about how divisive the United States has become, and I have to agree that recently it feels like we are moving further apart than any time I can remember, but we should also recognize that there has been disagreement in America longer than it has even been a country.

    There was disagreement on whether we should declare independence.

    The First Continental Congress convened in 1774 to talk about how to respond to perceived overreach by the British Monarchy in the wake of the Boston Tea Party. At the conclusion of their meeting in 1774, they decided to meet again in 1775 if the Intolerable Acts were not repealed.

    By the time the Declaration of Independence was signed, the colonies had already been at war with Britain for over a year as the battle of Lexington and Concord was in April 1775.

    When we learn history, we often speak from a unified perspective – saying things like the colonists rebelled, or the 13 colonies stood together to take on the British Empire.  In reality, many colonists did not believe independence was required – that is why essays like Thomas Paine’s Common Sense were necessary to convince enough of the population to fight.  There are also numerous examples of essays written against a fight for independence, like James Chalmers’ Plain Truth, which was written in opposition to Thomas Paine’s work and talked about the necessary stability provided by the British Monarchy.

    In the end, many American colonists were loyalists, estimated at between 15-20% of the white population, while 40-45% of the white population were patriots who supported the fight for independence.  This leaves around 35-45% of the population who were on the fence about the American Revolution.  As the British promised freedom to slaves who fought for them in the Revolution, they are often not included in such figures.

    There was disagreement culminating in the Civil War.

    Slavery was a contentious issue in the United States from the very beginning.  At the Constitutional Convention, the George Mason and Governeur Morris argued against slavery while Charles Pickney and John Rutledge were in favor of the practice.

    As the economy shifted toward industrialism in the North and towards agriculture in the South, the invention of the cotton gin in the late 1700s increased the importance of slavery in the South.  In the wake of the Mexican-American War, the United States annexed a lot of new land in the West leading to questions about whether slavery would be allowed in these new territories.  With increased northern opposition to slavery and increased southern dependence on slavery, it was becoming impossible to reach a political compromise on the issue.

    When Abraham Lincoln and Stephen A. Douglas debated leading up to the U.S. Senate election for Illinois in 1858, Lincoln was clear that he considered slavery to be morally wrong and must ultimately disappear in the United States.  Honest Abe lost the election in 1858.

    When he won the presidency just two years later, he won without winning a single Southern State. With his victory and stance on slavery, Southern states believed they would have no say in how they were governed and opted to secede.  While this is partially based on the idea that the state would not have its own rights, reading the secession documents for South Carolina and Mississippi make clear that the key issue was the state not having the right to allow slavery.

    There was disagreement during:

    • The Jim Crow Era
    • The Civil Rights Movement
    • The Vietnam War
    • The War on Terror

    There remains disagreement today, and there always will be.  That doesn’t mean we have to hate one another for it.

     

    I invite civil, bipartisan discussion on this post.

     

    Sources:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/First_Continental_Congress

    Intolerable Acts – Wikipedia

    Boston Tea Party – Definition, Dates & Facts | HISTORY

    Declaration of Independence: A Transcription | National Archives

    April 19, 1775 – Minute Man National Historical Park (U.S. National Park Service)

    How Thomas Paine’s ‘Common Sense’ Helped Inspire the American Revolution | HISTORY

    Plain Truth (pamphlet) – Wikipedia

    Loyalist (American Revolution) – Wikipedia

    How Enslaved Men Who Fought for the British Were Promised Freedom | HISTORY

    George Mason | Founding Father, Virginia Statesman | Britannica

    Forgotten Founders: Gouverneur Morris | Constitution Center

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Charles_Pinckney_(governor)

    https://www.americanhistorycentral.com/entries/john-rutledge/

    Cotton gin | Definition, Inventor, Eli Whitney, Impact, & Facts | Britannica

    Mexican–American War – Wikipedia

    Lincoln-Douglas Debates – Background, Summary & Significance

    1860 United States presidential election – Wikipedia

    South Carolina

    Mississippi

    July 4, 2025
  • The United States has Bombed Iran

    The United States has bombed Iran.

    I long for days of peace and understanding worldwide.

    This seems like a good time for a reminder that Donald Trump took the United States out of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) designed to limit Iran’s ability to acquire a nuclear weapon. As he carried out this action, there were privileged bills in Congress to require the President to get their approval before carrying out such a strike.

    Donald Trump made two major claims against the JCPOA:

    • The United States was giving Iran billions of dollars
    • Iran was not upholding their side of the deal

    The money Iran was able to use due to this deal was actually Iranian funds that had been frozen by sanctions, not money sent from the United States’ funds to Iran.  According to the International Atomic Energy Agency, Iran was maintaining compliance with the JCPOA.

    I invite civil, bipartisan discussion on this post.

     

    Sources:

    BREAKING: US launches attack against Iranian nuclear sites | Fox News Video

    President Donald J. Trump is Ending United States Participation in an Unacceptable Iran Deal – The White House

    What was in the Iran nuclear deal and why did Trump withdraw the US from it? – ABC News

    Congress mulls war powers as Trump considers strike in Iran

    Roll Call Factba.se – Speech: Donald Trump Addresses Iran Strategy – October 13, 2017

    https://www.nytimes.com/2017/10/13/us/politics/trump-iran-nuclear-deal.html

    PolitiFact | $150 billion is high-end estimate for Iranian assets gained after nuclear deal

    GOV/2017/48 – Verification and monitoring in the Islamic Republic of Iran in light of United Nations Security Council resolution 2231 (2015)

    June 22, 2025
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